The market moved
-5.5ppin 24h · now 61¢
Will anyone say "Sorry" during House of the Dragon E3 S3?
Other · resolves Jul 5 · vol $41.92
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 61¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on what has been released up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: what has been released up to that point — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 14.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.