The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will anyone say "War Crime" or "War Criminal" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?

Politics · resolves Oct 16 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.