The market moved
+22.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Apple launch another iPhone on February 19?
Business · resolves Feb 19 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 22.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://x.com/tim_cook/status/1890068457825394918.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.