The market moved

+1.6ppin 24h · now 96¢

Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.7B in Q2?

Business · resolves May 14 · vol $474.87

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 96¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.6pp shift. Resolution depends on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.