The market moved
+14.5ppin 24h · now 72¢
Will Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · resolves Jul 20 · vol $73.88
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 72¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.