Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 32.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the monthly percentage change in the consumer price index (cpi / ipc) in april 2026 (variación % mensual total nacion — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacion — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.