Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 22¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the monthly percentage change in the consumer price index (cpi / ipc) in july 2026 (variación % mensual total naciona — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total naciona — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.