The market moved
-12.5ppin 24h · now 19¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?
Macro · resolves Jul 14 · vol $58.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 19¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the monthly percentage change in the consumer price index (cpi / ipc) in june 2026 (variación % mensual total naciona — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in June 2026 (Variación % mensual Total naciona — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.