The market moved
-7.4ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.7% and 2.9%?
Macro · resolves Jul 14 · vol $75.07
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the monthly percentage change in the consumer price index (cpi / ipc) in june 2026 (variación % mensual total naciona — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in June 2026 (Variación % mensual Total naciona — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.