The market moved

+14.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Ariana Grande say "Merry Christmas" on SNL on December 20?

Other · resolves Dec 20 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nbc.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nbc.com — https://www.nbc.com/nbc-insider/ariana-grande-to-host-snl-season-51-christmas-show-with-cher.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.