The market moved

+5.0ppin 24h · now 32¢

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Sports · resolves Jul 12 · vol $340.75

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 32¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+5.0pp · Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Orrery