The market moved
-2.3ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Ashley Trail be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?
Other · resolves Jul 16 · vol $144.62
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.