The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Science · resolves Jan 4 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the cdc, the share of the omicron (b — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the CDC, the share of the Omicron (B.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.