The market moved
+4.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Atmosphere (Taylor Jenkins Reid) win Readers’ Favorite Historical Fiction in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?
Other · resolves Dec 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: credible reporting — https://www.goodreads.com/choiceawards/best-books-2025).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.