The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 43¢
Will Austin Reaves play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?
Sports · resolves Oct 31 · vol $323.74
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official nba data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official NBA data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.