The market moved

+6.0ppin 24h · now 13¢

Will Australia be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Sports · resolves Jul 12 · vol $413.99

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 13¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.