The market moved
-3.0ppin 24h · now 15¢
Will Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Sports · resolves Jul 12 · vol $14.50
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 15¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on fifa.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: fifa.com — https://www.fifa.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.