The market moved

+1.3ppin 24h · now

Will "Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Entertainment · resolves Jul 14 · vol $681.78

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.3pp shift. Resolution depends on which show this update ranks as the #2 us netflix show — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 16.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.