The market moved

+2.5ppin 24h · now 42¢

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

AI · resolves May 31 · vol $469.54

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 42¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+2.5pp · Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Orrery