The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now 85¢

Will Bale Dalton be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?

Politics · resolves Aug 18 · vol $363.20

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 85¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the fl-07 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in th — https://democrats.org/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.