Will Bernie say "Iran" in Maine?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 79¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on berniesanders.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: berniesanders.com — https://berniesanders.com/oligarchy/).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 0.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.