The market moved

+48.4ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Bernie say "Trump" 12+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?

Politics · resolves Oct 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 48.4pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://x.com/CNNPR/status/1976791116683907404.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.