The market moved

+21.0ppin 24h · now 94¢

Will Bernie say "Trump" 5+ times in Maine?

Politics · resolves May 24 · vol $455.06

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 94¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 21.0pp shift. Resolution depends on berniesanders.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: berniesanders.com — https://berniesanders.com/oligarchy/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 42.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.