Will between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of storms noaa names during the 2025 atlantic hurricane season — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of storms NOAA names during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.