The market moved

-27.7ppin 24h · now

Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?

Politics · resolves Jan 20 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 27.7pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.justice.gov/pardon/pardons-granted-president-joseph-biden-2021-present).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.