The market moved
+29.5ppin 24h · now 83¢
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?
Politics · resolves Aug 18 · vol $574.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 83¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 29.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.