The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 61¢

Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Culture · resolves Aug 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 61¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @lemonadestandpo — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @LemonadeStandPo — https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 37.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.