Will Bob Sullivan be the Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican nominee?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 62¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the election for oklahoma commissioner of i — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Commissioner of I — https://rnc.org/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.