Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 43¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the socialist party of france (parti socialiste, ps) to contest the 2027 fr — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 Fr — https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.