The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 9% and 12% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?

Politics · resolves Jun 24 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the first round ranked-choice vote share for brad lander in the 2025 democratic primary for mayor of new york city, s — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the first round ranked-choice vote share for Brad Lander in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, s.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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