The market moved
+2.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.5% and 1.8%?
Macro · resolves May 29 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.4pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.