The market moved

-14.9ppin 24h · now

Will Brian Armstrong say Trump 5+ times during his X space?

Politics · resolves Feb 18 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.9pp shift. Resolution depends on coinbase (exchange price) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Coinbase (exchange price) — https://x.com/coinbase/status/1889433772233298302).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.