The market moved
-2.2ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?
Sports · resolves May 31 · vol $10.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.2pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.