The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 47¢
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?
Politics · resolves Aug 18 · vol $4.1K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 47¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on department of state — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Department of State — https://dos.fl.gov/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.