Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 50¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on department of defense in the federal register or on its official website — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website — https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.