The market moved
-9.4ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Other · resolves Aug 31 · vol $122.30
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the second-highest ranked company based on the arena — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.