The market moved

-36.5ppin 24h · now 13¢

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by August 31?

Business · resolves Sep 1 · vol $175.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 13¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 36.5pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing — https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-f364d2ab-34b7-48c9-a2b7-af62da804953/data).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.