The market moved
-18.6ppin 24h · now 21¢
Will Cairn win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
Other · resolves Dec 10 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 21¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.6pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://thegameawards.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.