The market moved
-9.5ppin 24h · now 50¢
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?
Politics · resolves Aug 4 · vol $2.1K
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 50¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the mi-01 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in th — https://democrats.org/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.