The market moved
-1.3ppin 24h · now 7¢
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Macro · resolves Feb 15 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.3pp shift. Resolution depends on data from the last available month — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: data from the last available month — https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.