The market moved

-0.3ppin 24h · now

Will Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?

Other · resolves Mar 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2025/03/list-of-products-from-the-united-states-subject-to-25-per-cent-tariffs-effective-march-4-2025.html).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.