Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 52¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.