The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now

Will Canada's monthly inflation increase by ≥0.4% in November?

Macro · resolves Dec 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number the consumer price index (cpi) increased in november 2025 (% change) according to the monthly statistics c — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased in November 2025 (% change) according to the monthly Statistics C — https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.