The market moved
-3.7ppin 24h · now 10¢
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $258.40
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.7pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.