The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the most gold medals?

Sports · resolves Aug 11 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the medal figures as they stand after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2024 paris summer olympics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the medal figures as they stand after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.