The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?
Business · resolves May 14 · vol $6.1K
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 20.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.