Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 20.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.