The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now 18¢

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?

Business · resolves May 14 · vol $4.2K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 18¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 20.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.