The market moved
+1.4ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Politics · resolves Jun 2 · vol $1.1K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 4¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.4pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.