The market moved

+0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Chase Oliver get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?

Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 u — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.